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Admin28.07.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (FRED:USREC) — Historical Data and Chart — TradingView

Louis uses this method in its own publications.
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Admin12.06.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough (USRECDM)

The first interpretation, known as the midpoint method, is to show a recession from the midpoint of the peak through the midpoint of the trough for monthly and quarterly data.
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Admin08.07.2021

Recession Indicators Series, Release Date: 2021

A version of this time series represented using the midpoint method can be found at: The second interpretation, known as the trough method, is to show a recession from the period following the peak through the trough i.
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Admin10.07.2021

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough (USRECDM)

The trough method is used when displaying data on FRED graphs.
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Admin13.08.2021

NBER Recession Indicators

This method shows the maximum number of periods as a recession for monthly and quarterly data.
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Admin24.06.2021

Business Cycle Dating Committee Announcement July 19, 2021

Real Retail Sales The Latest Indicator Data According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income PI in August rose 0.
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Admin11.06.2021

Business Cycle Dating

For this time series, the recession begins on the 15th day of the month of the peak and ends on the 15th day of the month of the trough.
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Admin23.06.2021

It's official: The Covid recession lasted just two months, the shortest in U.S. history

Daily data is a disaggregation of monthly data.
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Admin04.07.2021

Recession Indicators Series, Release Date: 2021

In general usage, the word recession connotes a marked slippage in economic activity.
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Admin18.06.2021

Business Cycle Dating Committee Announcement July 19, 2021

If we subtract the latter from the former PI less TP the monthly increase drops to 0.
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Admin10.08.2021

The Fed

The arbitrary convention does not reflect any judgment on this issue by the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee.
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Admin23.06.2021

NBER Recession Indicators

Units: Percentage Points, Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Quarterly Notes: This index measures the probability that the U.
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